Vice President Harris has jumped to a three percentage point lead over former President Trump in Iowa, according to the final Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll of the cycle.
No one has changed their minds over the last week. But the poll numbers keep changing.
The fact that all these polling groups move and march in unison is clearly indicative of covariance. The polls are related in subtle ways.
Everyone has an error and worse, the errors have correlations.
There are poll headlines I pray are true and ones I pray aren’t…but say it with me:
POLLS. DON’T. MATTER!!!
POLLS. DON’T. MATTER!!!
This. They are a lie attempting to convince you voting is a waste of time. Vote. It isn’t just about the count, it’s about the margin needed to overcome legal BS after the fact.
Or just a tool for political strategists that got gamified
I agree! Vote! But also, keep in mind that this is the gold standard for polling in this country. Selzer reflected how 2016, 2020, and 2022 went when everyone else was wrong.
#VOTE!!
