This market is very active currently. Bets are piling up for Yes and No positions, so there seem to be strong opinions on both sides.
hard no.
but, how are people making actual bets with criteria like “as long as it’s pretty good” without any defined arbiter?
it seems like resolving that will require arguing with people who will say that attributes like coherency and continuity are not required for a movie to be “high-quality” and “pretty good”… which, actually, sure, human-made films can sometimes be good while lacking in those departments.
but, the ones made fully automatically in 5 years certainly won’t be :)
The creator is the defined arbiter. In this case Scott Alexander, author of Astral Codex Ten.
lol, ok, that makes sense, thanks. (and, oh… that guy 🤮)
also i see now this is a strictly play-money prediction market, i missed that at first.
