- The offensive of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in the Kursk region, according to German military experts, could lead to long-term failures for Ukraine.
- Short-term successes may turn into defeats , since the expansion of the front is beneficial to Russia, which has greater resources.
- It is unlikely that Ukraine will be able to hold the positions it has gained due to logistical difficulties and a shortage of infantry. And Kiev’s hopes for the withdrawal of Russian troops from Donbas are unlikely, which makes the current operation very risky.
That’s my read as well, and also there’s a factor that they’re under constant pressure to show results to their sponsors being a proxy. With Russia advancing all over the front now, and western attention being increasingly diverted to West Asia, Ukraine needs to be seen doing something that will draw attention back to them.