• Rapidcreek@lemmy.world
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    18 days ago

    What? I can say with reasonably certainty that if other polls match their results, which they do, then the MOE is meaningless. I can also say that since the same pollster and ABC took both polls, ABC is straight lying when they say there was no bounce. Their own data says otherwise.

    • whenyellowstonehasitsday@fedia.io
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      18 days ago

      I can say with reasonably certainty that if other polls match their results, which they do, then the MOE is meaningless

      no that isn’t how statistics works

      Their own data says otherwise.

      if you look at only their own data then no, there was a statistically negligible increase

      • Rapidcreek@lemmy.world
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        18 days ago

        FFS. You don’t know how polls work. There are always small increases when you reach 50% The more important issue in these polls is that Trump has a ceiling of ~46%