imo not directly, they will proxy it just like ukraine.
about the aukus military alliance (something like that), i think that is a lot of smoke and no fire, just for show, and one thing that people doesn’t count that much but i think it plays a big role, is the racial factor, the west won’t send white people to battle china, they will send other asians, like the people from taiwan, south corea and japan. taiwan is being armed by nato, japan is being rearmed by nato and they still hold a grudge of being kicked out of china during ww2 and korea who is an us military occupation
Japan is less holding a grudge than suffering from the deep fear that China, now powerful once more, will retaliate against them for their WWII atrocities. This belief is discussed above- and below-the-table among their right-wing politicians and intelligentsia. Who also happens to be in power. As China rises, they are increasing anxious at their inability to protect themselves. While extremely unlikely to engage in a hot war with China, Japan is suspected to be taking the opportunity of a loosening american stranglehold to build up their self-defense instead. Even now under immense US pressure, they will not do anything beyond “support” the US forces as a base for operations.
NK will fully counter anything SK does. Nk sees all the recent US/Japanese joint military exercises in the area aimed against China as threatening them (which makes sense, given their history and perspective). Hence their recently becoming more and more vocal in their warnings.
In geopolitics, no country will throw itself into a fight between two superpowers. Apart from some fighty words, which country is jumping at the chance to intervene in Ukraine?
Taiwan is not a real option. It is a small island within direct military reach of the mainland, has 2% of mainland China’s population, 4% of its gpd. Even if NATO gave it all of their weapons, it has zero chances to do any real damage. Hence, the Taiwanese separatist base (33% of population) firmly believes that the US will send in its navy to fight FOR them, and are not at all imagining THEMSELVES as future freedom fighters (Taiwanese army at historic low membership this year). Its major benefit lies in that China has no intentions to destroy Taiwan, so things are unlikely to go too badly there.
nah, japan still has that felling of the good old days of colonial empire, racial supremacy and usa has a lot of influence too, so free japanese cannon fodder to feed the american dream.
i gotta admit i simply forgot drpk, so i don’t known how to begin to speculate what will be their moves, but makes sense what u said, they intervening because nato presence in the pacific is a direct threat to them.
i didn’t went into results and such, i believe china has more than enough capability to handle this. russia is facing basically alone a coalition of 80 countries and it is not even in war mode yet and managed to depleted a lot of nato ammo depos.
china is a heavily industrialized country and has a working force of 800 million people, imagine shifting some of that to produce military equipment, it wont be running out of ammo anytime soon, and also their infrastructure, 2/3 of worlds high speed trains are on china alone, so they can make stuff and believer to any part of the country very quickly.
i guess my biggest worry would be india, since the relations of these countries has been rocky for thousands of years, but there is a good chance i may be wrong since they are making a lot of progress inside brics
imo not directly, they will proxy it just like ukraine.
about the aukus military alliance (something like that), i think that is a lot of smoke and no fire, just for show, and one thing that people doesn’t count that much but i think it plays a big role, is the racial factor, the west won’t send white people to battle china, they will send other asians, like the people from taiwan, south corea and japan. taiwan is being armed by nato, japan is being rearmed by nato and they still hold a grudge of being kicked out of china during ww2 and korea who is an us military occupation
Japan is less holding a grudge than suffering from the deep fear that China, now powerful once more, will retaliate against them for their WWII atrocities. This belief is discussed above- and below-the-table among their right-wing politicians and intelligentsia. Who also happens to be in power. As China rises, they are increasing anxious at their inability to protect themselves. While extremely unlikely to engage in a hot war with China, Japan is suspected to be taking the opportunity of a loosening american stranglehold to build up their self-defense instead. Even now under immense US pressure, they will not do anything beyond “support” the US forces as a base for operations.
NK will fully counter anything SK does. Nk sees all the recent US/Japanese joint military exercises in the area aimed against China as threatening them (which makes sense, given their history and perspective). Hence their recently becoming more and more vocal in their warnings.
In geopolitics, no country will throw itself into a fight between two superpowers. Apart from some fighty words, which country is jumping at the chance to intervene in Ukraine?
Taiwan is not a real option. It is a small island within direct military reach of the mainland, has 2% of mainland China’s population, 4% of its gpd. Even if NATO gave it all of their weapons, it has zero chances to do any real damage. Hence, the Taiwanese separatist base (33% of population) firmly believes that the US will send in its navy to fight FOR them, and are not at all imagining THEMSELVES as future freedom fighters (Taiwanese army at historic low membership this year). Its major benefit lies in that China has no intentions to destroy Taiwan, so things are unlikely to go too badly there.
nah, japan still has that felling of the good old days of colonial empire, racial supremacy and usa has a lot of influence too, so free japanese cannon fodder to feed the american dream.
i gotta admit i simply forgot drpk, so i don’t known how to begin to speculate what will be their moves, but makes sense what u said, they intervening because nato presence in the pacific is a direct threat to them.
i didn’t went into results and such, i believe china has more than enough capability to handle this. russia is facing basically alone a coalition of 80 countries and it is not even in war mode yet and managed to depleted a lot of nato ammo depos.
china is a heavily industrialized country and has a working force of 800 million people, imagine shifting some of that to produce military equipment, it wont be running out of ammo anytime soon, and also their infrastructure, 2/3 of worlds high speed trains are on china alone, so they can make stuff and believer to any part of the country very quickly.
i guess my biggest worry would be india, since the relations of these countries has been rocky for thousands of years, but there is a good chance i may be wrong since they are making a lot of progress inside brics