• Alex_Sander077@alien.topB
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    1 year ago

    They should’ve changed the format of this. 7/10 qualifying is a bit silly. Perhaps two groups, north and south or something like that.

  • Beatlepy93@alien.topB
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    1 year ago

    Parió la burra! Por fin!

    After all this years FINALLY a coach that put the players that play in Europe and 2 forwards if it’s necesary.

    • Arantes_@alien.topB
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      1 year ago

      They have a new coach.

      People have short memories. They had plenty of qualifiers with similar starts before.

    • ancara_messi@alien.topB
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      1 year ago

      Last two games were awful from them. Even the one before they just about managed to win at the end

  • SaBe_18@alien.topB
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    1 year ago

    weird feeling being so relaxed after only 4 games into the Qualifiers, but being 1st by 5 points plus the extended WC does that

  • QuieroLaSeptima@alien.topB
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    1 year ago

    Since the World Cup expanded to 32 teams (in 1998), CONMEBOL qualifiers have consisted of 18 match days in a round robin home and away format. Previously, the top 4 finishers qualified directly and the 5th place qualified to the playoff/repechaje. With the 2026 expansion, CONMEBOL slots increased to 6 direct and 1 playoff.

    Here is some data regarding the 7th place finisher in every qualifier since 1998 (except for 1998 and 2014 as Brasil was auto-qualified as previous winner and host in those years and only 16 matches were played):

    The average 7th place finish earned 21.2 points. The most points for a 7th place finish occurred in the 2018 edition by Paraguay with 24 points (GD of -3). The least amount of points for a 7th place finish occurred in the 2002 edition by Bolivia with 18 points (GD of -12).

    Additionally, you can look at how many points it would’ve taken to tie the 8th place finisher - as you could advance with a goal difference above the 8th place finisher but with the same amount of points.

    The average 8th place finish earned 18.4 points. The most points for an 8th place finish occurred in the 2010 edition with 22 points (GD of -6). The least points for an 8th place finish occurred in the 2002 and 2022 editions with 16 points (GD of -11 and -14 respectively in those years).

    25 points would seem to be the goal to nearly ensure at least a playoff spot, but as low as 16 points could be enough in a cycle where the bottom teams struggle. Now obviously, mathematically these ranges could be much higher and lower.

    One additional note for anyone interested: In the 1998 and 2014 qualifiers (16 matches without Brasil), the 6th and 7th place finishers averaged 1.28 and 1.13 points per match. Compared to 1.18 and 1.02 points per match from 7th and 8th place finishers respectively in “normal” 18 match qualifying cycles.

    • lIIIIllIIIlllIIllllI@alien.topB
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      1 year ago

      Rewarding mediocrity by auto qualifying 6th place.

      I think Conmebol and Concacaf should merge into a giant super qualifying region.

      USA v Brazil in Sofi Stadium LA in a WCQ would get some attention from the USA public for sure.

      • QuieroLaSeptima@alien.topB
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        1 year ago

        Honestly, I would’ve been fine with 5 direct and 1 (or 2) playoff spots.

        As for your second point, most of South America wants nothing to do with concacaf (me included). It would provide nothing to our region except for more money to the executives. It sure would help the top concacaf teams though.

    • clide24777@alien.topB
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      1 year ago

      Very crazy that every 7th and 8th place finisher that you mentioned had negative GD. I wonder what all time 5 number summary for GD on 6th to 8th place CONMEBOL countries would look like. Is the max even greater than zero?

      • Penarol1916@alien.topB
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        1 year ago

        How is that crazy? I would think that 7th and 8th out if 10 in most competitions would be expected to have a negative goal differential.

    • manualex16@alien.topB
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      1 year ago

      In March next year there will be some friendlies between South American and European teams.