The economy’s strength and stability — defying many of the most optimistic predictions — represents a remarkable development after seemingly endless crises

As 2023 winds to a close, Powell and his colleagues are far from declaring victory on inflation. They routinely caution that their actions could be thwarted by any number of threats, from war in the Middle East to China’s economic slowdown. Americans are upset about high costs for rent, groceries and other basics, which aren’t going back to pre-pandemic levels. The White House, too, is quick to emphasize that much work remains.

Yet the economy is ending the year in a remarkably better position than almost anyone on Wall Street or in mainstream economics predicted, having bested just about all expectations time and again. Inflation has dropped to 3.1 percent, from a peak of 9.1. The unemployment rate is at a hot 3.7 percent, and the economy grew at a healthy clip in the most recent quarter. The Fed is probably finished hiking interest rates and is eyeing cuts next year. Financial markets are at or near all-time highs, and the S&P 500 could hit a new record this week, too.

  • silence7@slrpnk.netOP
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    10 months ago

    Ending inflation doesn’t mean that prices come down. It means that they stop rising. (or, more realistically, go back to rising at 2% to 3% per year)

    Deflation is when prices drop. It’s bad; what happens is that it’s more valuable to hold onto cash than to invest it in starting or expanding a business, so the economy as a whole craters like the US did in the Great Depression. You probably don’t want that.

    • Uranium3006@kbin.social
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      10 months ago

      Are you kidding me? Crash the economy so hard it snaps in two. It’s time we put capitalism out of it’s misery

      • assassin_aragorn@lemmy.world
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        9 months ago

        This is the kind of shit champagne socialists say as they sit back at brunch. Do you have any idea not only how many casualties this would cause, but how badly it would set us back from evolving past capitalism?

        How will the people surviving paycheck to paycheck, barely getting enough food on the table, going to survive? An economic collapse means food logistics cease to exist. You can’t just go to the grocery store. What will everyday people eat? What will they drink when they run out of the chemicals needed for clean water?

        Not to mention, the collapse would mean all logistics and supply chains stop working. You need a medicine by tomorrow afternoon or you’ll begin to die? Whoops, we have no idea when that’s coming in. Everyone who relies on medication to live will die. Even more who rely on it for quality of life will severely suffer. You’ll have brilliant minds that are incapable of helping design a more equitable system because they’re anxious wrecks. Any new injuries would probably be a death sentence.

        Do you understand what this would mean? An economic collapse would be a massacre of the working class and anyone needing consistent healthcare. You need bright minds to develop a better system than capitalism. They’ll all be dead or held captive by their own bodies.

      • Psychodelic@lemmy.world
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        9 months ago

        Seriously! Now tell us how much time you’ve spent understanding how working class Americans lived during the great depression and what parts you’re most interested in seeing repeated

      • Blackbeard@lemmy.world
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        10 months ago

        I cannot imagine the level of privilege it takes to unironically make a statement like this. There are no words.

        • assassin_aragorn@lemmy.world
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          9 months ago

          Far too many people think that they’ll survive and lead the masses in a glorious revolution that will fix all of our problems.

          For starters, the masses wouldn’t exist. An economic collapse would massacre the working class. Way too many people are already barely making ends meet. They’d all starve to death.

          This is the sort of pipedream that only the bourgeoisie think of.

        • Not_mikey@lemmy.world
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          10 months ago

          If that’s what it’s gonna take to get a green new deal then maybe we should. Without a crisis like that, at the current trajectory both parties seem set on selling out the planet for there corporate donors.

          • silence7@slrpnk.netOP
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            9 months ago

            The party that does it will end up out of power for a generation because it’s such a bad idea. People can make that mistake out of ignorance, but won’t do it willingly

    • MrPoopbutt@lemmy.world
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      9 months ago

      That assumes what we are experiencing is inflation. Inflation is part of the equation, but another big part is just corporations are pushing up prices and making record profits. That part can result in prices going down without causing issues.

        • BraveSirZaphod@kbin.social
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          10 months ago

          You’re already ahead of 90% of Lemmy with that.

          I wonder how many people here would agree with the idea of lowering taxes in order to reduce inflation.

        • Nudding@lemmy.world
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          10 months ago

          Good, I’d hate for the mods here to delete points of view that they don’t agree with 🤪. Like the Climate sub!

          • silence7@slrpnk.netOP
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            10 months ago

            It’s not a matter of disagreement; there’s room for legit disagreement about a lot of things. It’s a matter of joining in a active fossil-fuel-industry disinformation campaign. That gets me to take content down because it’s basically impossible to have a rational discussion when that’s part of it.

            • Nudding@lemmy.world
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              10 months ago

              Thinking that humans are a net negative to the natural world and deserve the consequences of the climate apocalypse isn’t a fossil fuel industry disinformation talking point, you literally just disagree with my opinions and shadowbanned me without warning or way to appeal. Big difference in “taking content down” and the former.

                • Nudding@lemmy.world
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                  10 months ago

                  My solution isn’t everyone killing themselves at the same time. And you’d know that if you didn’t ban me without recourse.

                  • Psychodelic@lemmy.world
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                    9 months ago

                    Idk the original discussion but I totally support the ban.

                    Insufferable people that talk past others are the absolute worst people to try and have a dialogue with - especially when they’re more interested in listening to themselves anyway.

                    First, seek to understand, then try to be understood